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Vendor
Liepman Literary Agency
Marc Koralnik
Original language
English

THE GREAT CONVERGENCE

Richard Baldwin

Information technology and the new globalization

A fascinating look at how information technology has radically changed the nature of globalization.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, there's been a groundswell of interest in this book, particularly in light of the ascent of Donald Trump, whose agenda for the United States can be described as, among many things, isolationist and a reaction to globalization.

In this book, Baldwin lays out what makes this era of globalization so much more tumultuous and what we might expect in the future.

In terms of our other books on inequality and globalization, this book is probably most in conversation with Branko Milanovic's GLOBAL INEQUALITY: Milanovic describes how wealth has been redistributed among nations, and identifies how this redistribution has been at the expense of the middle classes in developed nations. Baldwin's book complements that effort by explaining the actual mechanisms for how this came to be.
Between 1820 and 1990, the share of world income going to today's wealthy nations soared from twenty percent to almost seventy. Since then, that share has plummeted to where it was in 1900. As Richard Baldwin explains, this reversal of fortune reflects a new age of globalization that is drastically different from the old.

In the 1800s, globalization leaped forward when steam power and international peace lowered the costs of moving goods across borders. This triggered a self-fueling cycle of industrial agglomeration and growth that propelled today's rich nations to dominance. That was the Great Divergence. The new globalization is driven by information technology, which has radically reduced the cost of moving ideas across borders. This has made it practical for multinational firms to move labor-intensive work to developing nations. But to keep the whole manufacturing process in sync, the firms also shipped their marketing, managerial, and technical know-how abroad along with the offshored jobs. The new possibility of combining high tech with low wages propelled the rapid industrialization of a handful of developing nations, the simultaneous deindustrialization
of developed nations, and a commodity supercycle that is only now petering out. The result is today's Great Convergence.

Because globalization is now driven by fast-paced technological change and the fragmentationof production, its impact is more sudden, more selective, more unpredictable, and more uncontrollable. As The Great Convergence shows, the new globalization presents rich and developing nations alike with unprecedented policy challenges in their efforts to maintain reliable growth and social cohesion.

Richard Baldwin is Professor of International Economics at the Graduate Institute, Geneva, and Director of the Centre of Economic Policy Research (CEPR), London.
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Published 2016-11-01 by Harvard

Comments

“[An] excellent book Baldwin's work seems likely to become a standard, perhaps indispensable, guide to understanding how globalization has got us here and where it is likely to take us next. There can be few more vital subjects today that will benefit from this sort of clear and comprehensive exposition.”— Read more...

Mulion

Interview: Living in one country and working in another will soon be common, thanks to remote-control robots. Future Now spoke with economist Richard Baldwin about how this trend could change the world. Read more...

Antoni Bosch

Delo Publishers

Be 'very afraid' about globalization's next phase Read more...

Nikkei BP

Forget A.I. ‘Remote Intelligence' Will Be Much More Disruptive Read more...